Lake Erie Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook

For Thursday, December 16th, 2021, this notice is intended to update the public and local municipalities
of the condition of the Lake Erie Shoreline as it relates to the Niagara Peninsula and the eastern portions
of Haldimand County.

Our area is currently under a Special Weather Statement as issued by Environment Canada calling for
strong southwest winds with potential gusts approaching 90km/hr. These wind gusts could cause
damaging wave action and will result in water levels increasing along the Lake Erie Shoreline.

It is currently predicted that Lake Erie water levels will increase by 20cm (8 inches) above current levels
to an elevation of approximately 175.10m at Port Colborne and Fort Erie. Moderate wave heights of
1.43m (4.7 feet) are also forecast to occur during this time. The water levels are expected to peak
around midnight tonight and will decline early Friday morning.

Residents living along Lake Erie should pay close attention to water levels and waves in their area and
are urged stay away from the shoreline of Lake Erie during this event. It would be prudent to close storm
shutters and flood-proof low openings in buildings during this event.

The NPCA will continue to monitor these conditions and will issue further messages as required.
Information on the Flood Status in the watershed and water levels within the Great Lakes and streams
can be found on the NPCA’s website at:

This notice is in effect until noon, Friday December 17th, 2021, and will be updated as required.

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